Nagorno-Karabakh is one of the most widely studied issue in Caucasian studies both before the Second Nagorno-Karabakh war and after the war. Second Nagorno-Karabakh War has been constituted a possibility to change its frozen status. Although Nagorno-Karabakh conflict has been tried to resolve by United Nations and some other international organizations, attempts remained inconclusive. Moreover, the concluded negotiations and presence of ceasefire between parties has never sustained an actual ceasefire. Low intensity clashes between parties lasted until second
Nagorno-Karabakh War time by time. As a regional conflict, Nagorno-Karabakh conflict has been witnessed third parties’ intervention. Russian Federation and Turkey have intervened as regional actor but also USA and France have intervened as international actor by Armenian interest groups’ role within USA and France socio-political realm. Since Nagorno-Karabakh is crucial for Energy roads and Caucasian security structure, the conflict is one of the focal points of the regional and international conflict. Beside Caucasia has been always important region for Post-Soviet Studies,
Second Nagorno-Karabakh war is also important for Security Studies in the context of changing war structure with regards of armed drones’ role in the field. Yet the tension has decreased relatively between parties, peace possibility and future of issue should be analyzed and received considerable
critical attention. To that end, this article will give an account of conflict management analysis to understand features of issue and examine three scenarios as best, worst, and most likely by using Conflict Analysis Tools
Translated title of the contributionСтратегический анализ Нагорно-Карабахской проблемы и ее возможные сценарии развития
Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)799-805
JournalПостсоветские исследования
Volume5
Issue number8
StatePublished - 1 Dec 2022

    Research areas

  • NAGORNO-KARABAKH, strategic analysis, CONFLICT MANAGEMENT, PEACEBUILDING, TRACK II DIPLOMACY

ID: 101753708