Discontinuities in wintertime warming in northern europe during 1951-2016

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Discontinuities in wintertime warming in northern europe during 1951-2016. / Latonin, Mikhail M.; Lobanov, Vladimir A.; Bashmachnikov, Igor L.

In: Climate, Vol. 8, No. 6, 80, 06.2020.

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

BibTeX

@article{1262bb210183410f947b20be214cb3db,

title = "Discontinuities in wintertime warming in northern europe during 1951-2016",

abstract = "Although there is a general consensus about the trends of current climate change, the North Atlantic region deserves special attention, as it is the key region for many climate processes. The aim of this study is to assess the climatic changes in this region for the period 1951-2016, based on the analysis of surface air temperature (SAT) observations from weather stations, and the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO). Statistical modeling of time series for January, February and March shows a stepwise increase of SAT in Northern Europe in 1987-1989, with the stationarity increasing towards spring. The divided trends of the NAO and SAT indicate a good coherence at the level of climate tendencies. This research reveals the discontinuity of the present-day wintertime warming in Northern Europe, with a warming of about 2 °C after the stepwise jump of the SAT.",

keywords = "изменение климата, Северная Европа, Северная Атлантика, Гренландия, тренды, потепление климата, температура воздуха, climate change, Northern Europe, North Atlantic, Greenland, triggered mechanism, trends, discontinuity of warming, SAT, NAO, winter climate, SURFACE AIR-TEMPERATURE, ARCTIC AMPLIFICATION, MODEL, ATLANTIC MULTIDECADAL OSCILLATION, IMPACT, URAL BLOCKING, BALANCE-ELEVATION FEEDBACK, POLAR AMPLIFICATION, PROJECTIONS, CLIMATE VARIABILITY",

author = "Latonin, {Mikhail M.} and Lobanov, {Vladimir A.} and Bashmachnikov, {Igor L.}",

note = "Funding Information: Funding: This research was funded by RFBR, project number 19-35-90083. Funding Information: Acknowledgments: M.M.L. is grateful to the support of the Nansen Scientific Society (Bergen, Norway). The authors are thankful to reviewers and editors whose evaluation helped to improve the quality of the manuscript. Funding Information: Acknowledgments: M.M.L. is grateful to the support of the Nansen Scientific Society (Bergen, Norway). The authors are thankful to reviewers and editors whose evaluation helped to improve the quality of the manuscript. Acknowledgments: M.M.L. is grateful to the support of the Nansen Scientific Society (Bergen, Norway). The Conflicts of Interest: The authors declare no conflict of interest. The funder had no role in the design of the study; in the collection, analyses, or interpretation of data; in the writing of the manuscript, or in the decision to puConflicts of Interest:blish the results. The authors declare no conflict of interest. The funder had no role in the design of the study; in the collection, analyses, or interpretation of data; in the writing of the manuscript, or in the decision to Publisher Copyright: {\textcopyright} 2020 by the authors. Copyright: Copyright 2020 Elsevier B.V., All rights reserved.",

year = "2020",

month = jun,

doi = "10.3390/cli8060080",

language = "English",

volume = "8",

journal = "Climate",

issn = "2225-1154",

publisher = "MDPI AG",

number = "6",

}

RIS

TY - JOUR

T1 - Discontinuities in wintertime warming in northern europe during 1951-2016

AU - Latonin, Mikhail M.

AU - Lobanov, Vladimir A.

AU - Bashmachnikov, Igor L.

N1 - Funding Information: Funding: This research was funded by RFBR, project number 19-35-90083. Funding Information: Acknowledgments: M.M.L. is grateful to the support of the Nansen Scientific Society (Bergen, Norway). The authors are thankful to reviewers and editors whose evaluation helped to improve the quality of the manuscript. Funding Information: Acknowledgments: M.M.L. is grateful to the support of the Nansen Scientific Society (Bergen, Norway). The authors are thankful to reviewers and editors whose evaluation helped to improve the quality of the manuscript. Acknowledgments: M.M.L. is grateful to the support of the Nansen Scientific Society (Bergen, Norway). The Conflicts of Interest: The authors declare no conflict of interest. The funder had no role in the design of the study; in the collection, analyses, or interpretation of data; in the writing of the manuscript, or in the decision to puConflicts of Interest:blish the results. The authors declare no conflict of interest. The funder had no role in the design of the study; in the collection, analyses, or interpretation of data; in the writing of the manuscript, or in the decision to Publisher Copyright: © 2020 by the authors. Copyright: Copyright 2020 Elsevier B.V., All rights reserved.

PY - 2020/6

Y1 - 2020/6

N2 - Although there is a general consensus about the trends of current climate change, the North Atlantic region deserves special attention, as it is the key region for many climate processes. The aim of this study is to assess the climatic changes in this region for the period 1951-2016, based on the analysis of surface air temperature (SAT) observations from weather stations, and the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO). Statistical modeling of time series for January, February and March shows a stepwise increase of SAT in Northern Europe in 1987-1989, with the stationarity increasing towards spring. The divided trends of the NAO and SAT indicate a good coherence at the level of climate tendencies. This research reveals the discontinuity of the present-day wintertime warming in Northern Europe, with a warming of about 2 °C after the stepwise jump of the SAT.

AB - Although there is a general consensus about the trends of current climate change, the North Atlantic region deserves special attention, as it is the key region for many climate processes. The aim of this study is to assess the climatic changes in this region for the period 1951-2016, based on the analysis of surface air temperature (SAT) observations from weather stations, and the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO). Statistical modeling of time series for January, February and March shows a stepwise increase of SAT in Northern Europe in 1987-1989, with the stationarity increasing towards spring. The divided trends of the NAO and SAT indicate a good coherence at the level of climate tendencies. This research reveals the discontinuity of the present-day wintertime warming in Northern Europe, with a warming of about 2 °C after the stepwise jump of the SAT.

KW - изменение климата

KW - Северная Европа

KW - Северная Атлантика

KW - Гренландия

KW - тренды

KW - потепление климата

KW - температура воздуха

KW - climate change

KW - Northern Europe

KW - North Atlantic

KW - Greenland

KW - triggered mechanism

KW - trends

KW - discontinuity of warming

KW - SAT

KW - NAO

KW - winter climate

KW - SURFACE AIR-TEMPERATURE

KW - ARCTIC AMPLIFICATION

KW - MODEL

KW - ATLANTIC MULTIDECADAL OSCILLATION

KW - IMPACT

KW - URAL BLOCKING

KW - BALANCE-ELEVATION FEEDBACK

KW - POLAR AMPLIFICATION

KW - PROJECTIONS

KW - CLIMATE VARIABILITY

UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=85092495316&partnerID=8YFLogxK

U2 - 10.3390/cli8060080

DO - 10.3390/cli8060080

M3 - Article

AN - SCOPUS:85092495316

VL - 8

JO - Climate

JF - Climate

SN - 2225-1154

IS - 6

M1 - 80

ER -

ID: 60255323