DOI

Although there is a general consensus about the trends of current climate change, the North Atlantic region deserves special attention, as it is the key region for many climate processes. The aim of this study is to assess the climatic changes in this region for the period 1951-2016, based on the analysis of surface air temperature (SAT) observations from weather stations, and the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO). Statistical modeling of time series for January, February and March shows a stepwise increase of SAT in Northern Europe in 1987-1989, with the stationarity increasing towards spring. The divided trends of the NAO and SAT indicate a good coherence at the level of climate tendencies. This research reveals the discontinuity of the present-day wintertime warming in Northern Europe, with a warming of about 2 °C after the stepwise jump of the SAT.

Original languageEnglish
Article number80
Number of pages21
JournalClimate
Volume8
Issue number6
DOIs
StatePublished - Jun 2020

    Research areas

  • climate change, Northern Europe, North Atlantic, Greenland, triggered mechanism, trends, discontinuity of warming, SAT, NAO, winter climate, SURFACE AIR-TEMPERATURE, ARCTIC AMPLIFICATION, MODEL, ATLANTIC MULTIDECADAL OSCILLATION, IMPACT, URAL BLOCKING, BALANCE-ELEVATION FEEDBACK, POLAR AMPLIFICATION, PROJECTIONS, CLIMATE VARIABILITY

    Scopus subject areas

  • Environmental Science(all)
  • Mathematics(all)
  • Earth and Planetary Sciences(all)

ID: 60255323