Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review
Complex model for project dynamics prediction. / Dli, Maxim; Ofitserov, Alexander; Stoianova, Olga; Fedulov, Alexander.
In: International Journal of Applied Engineering Research, Vol. 11, No. 22, 01.01.2016, p. 11046-11049.Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review
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TY - JOUR
T1 - Complex model for project dynamics prediction
AU - Dli, Maxim
AU - Ofitserov, Alexander
AU - Stoianova, Olga
AU - Fedulov, Alexander
PY - 2016/1/1
Y1 - 2016/1/1
N2 - The article considers an approach to project dynamics prediction based on a complex model of the project. Project dynamics characterized by the set of integrated indicators of project goals attainability. The proposed model unlike common used network project models represents logical and temporal relations between project goals, external events and control actions. Quantitative indicators of project performance as well as expert estimations of events impacts on the project at different moments of time are used for prediction of project goals feasibility. The results of prediction can be used for analysis of management decisions under uncertainty.
AB - The article considers an approach to project dynamics prediction based on a complex model of the project. Project dynamics characterized by the set of integrated indicators of project goals attainability. The proposed model unlike common used network project models represents logical and temporal relations between project goals, external events and control actions. Quantitative indicators of project performance as well as expert estimations of events impacts on the project at different moments of time are used for prediction of project goals feasibility. The results of prediction can be used for analysis of management decisions under uncertainty.
KW - Prediction
KW - Project dynamics
KW - Project model
KW - Uncertainty
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=85002618177&partnerID=8YFLogxK
M3 - Article
AN - SCOPUS:85002618177
VL - 11
SP - 11046
EP - 11049
JO - International Journal of Applied Engineering Research
JF - International Journal of Applied Engineering Research
SN - 0973-4562
IS - 22
ER -
ID: 36349718