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DOI

This paper offers a brief review of economic cycle theories, pointing out the key parameters that describe their dynamic behavior, and proposes a model of asymmetric economic cycles. The model is based on the assumption that economic cycles are non-equilibrium processes characteristic of complex open-ended systems and uses two different see-saw-like sine functions in its construction: an additive version and a multiplicative version. An empirical verification of the model is presented for the GDP cyclic dynamics for several countries and the asymmetries observed on a global scale. For some countries we have also examined the asymmetric behavior for other economic variables, like energy production and unemployment. Conclusions are drawn about the suitability of the model to forecast economic cyclic dynamics.

Переведенное название К вопросу об асимметрии экономических циклов
Язык оригиналаанглийский
Название основной публикацииIndustry 4.0: Entrepreneurship and Structural Change in the New Digital Landscape
РедакторыTessaleno Devezas, Jo~ao Leit~ao, Askar Sarygulov
Место публикацииSwitzerland
ИздательSpringer Nature
Страницы65-92
Число страниц28
ISBN (электронное издание)2511-2031
ISBN (печатное издание)978-3-319-49603-0, 978-3-319-49604-7
DOI
СостояниеОпубликовано - 2017

Серия публикаций

НазваниеStudies on Entrepreneurship, Structural Change and Industrial Dynamics
ISSN (печатное издание)2511-2023
ISSN (электронное издание)2511-2031

    Предметные области Scopus

  • Экономика, эконометрия, и финансы (все)

ID: 7741691