Результаты исследований: Публикации в книгах, отчётах, сборниках, трудах конференций › статья в сборнике материалов конференции › научная › Рецензирование
Hydrological regime of the Black and Azov Seas catchment under the global warming. / Evstigneev, V. P.; Lemeshko, N. A.; Ostroumova, L. P.
The 5th International Conference on Ecosystem dynamics in the Holocene. ред. / E. Novenko; A. Olchev. IOP Publishing Ltd., 2020. (IOP Conference Series: Earth and Environmental Science ; Том 438, № 1).Результаты исследований: Публикации в книгах, отчётах, сборниках, трудах конференций › статья в сборнике материалов конференции › научная › Рецензирование
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TY - GEN
T1 - Hydrological regime of the Black and Azov Seas catchment under the global warming
AU - Evstigneev, V. P.
AU - Lemeshko, N. A.
AU - Ostroumova, L. P.
PY - 2020/2/5
Y1 - 2020/2/5
N2 - Estimates of probable change in water balance parameters of the Black and Azov Seas drainage basin under the global warming by 1°C were obtained. A steady-state hydrological model has been developed for evaluation of river runoff and evaporation. The paleoclimatic reconstruction for global warming on 1°C has been used as empirical scenario. This scale of climate change corresponds to the warm epoch of the past, considered as an analogue of the future climate: the Holocene Thermal Maximum (7-6 ka BP). The estimates indicate possible increase in the total river inflow into the Black and Azov Seas by about 17 km3 per year and increase of the mean annual evaporation by 27 mm per year relative to the period of 1961-1990 years. Estimation was made notwithstanding water consumption.
AB - Estimates of probable change in water balance parameters of the Black and Azov Seas drainage basin under the global warming by 1°C were obtained. A steady-state hydrological model has been developed for evaluation of river runoff and evaporation. The paleoclimatic reconstruction for global warming on 1°C has been used as empirical scenario. This scale of climate change corresponds to the warm epoch of the past, considered as an analogue of the future climate: the Holocene Thermal Maximum (7-6 ka BP). The estimates indicate possible increase in the total river inflow into the Black and Azov Seas by about 17 km3 per year and increase of the mean annual evaporation by 27 mm per year relative to the period of 1961-1990 years. Estimation was made notwithstanding water consumption.
KW - Future climate
KW - Holocene thermal maximums
KW - Hydrological modeling
KW - Hydrological regime
KW - Paleoclimatic reconstruction
KW - River runoffs
KW - Water balance
KW - Water consumption
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=85079595901&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.1088/1755-1315/438/1/012008
DO - 10.1088/1755-1315/438/1/012008
M3 - Conference contribution
AN - SCOPUS:85079595901
T3 - IOP Conference Series: Earth and Environmental Science
BT - The 5th International Conference on Ecosystem dynamics in the Holocene
A2 - Novenko, E.
A2 - Olchev, A.
PB - IOP Publishing Ltd.
T2 - 5th International Conference on Ecosystem dynamics in the Holocene
Y2 - 11 November 2019 through 15 November 2019
ER -
ID: 52217196