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We consider estimation of dynamic joint distributions of large groups of assets. Conventional likelihood functions based on 'off-the-shelf' distributions quickly become inaccurate as the number of parameters grows. Alternatives based on a fixed number of parameters do not permit sufficient flexibility in modelling asymmetry and dependence. This chapter considers a sequential procedure, where the joint patterns of asymmetry and dependence are unrestricted, yet the method does not suffer from the curse of dimensionality encountered in non-parametric estimation. We construct a flexible multivariate distribution using tightly parameterized lower-dimensional distributions coupled by a bivariate copula. This effectively replaces a high-dimensional parameter space with many simple estimations with few parameters. We provide theoretical motivation for this estimator as a pseudo-MLE with known asymptotic properties. In an asymmetric GARCH-type application with regional stock indexes, the procedure provides excellent fit when dimensionality is moderate, and remains operational when the conventional method fails.
| Язык оригинала | английский |
|---|---|
| Название основной публикации | Assymetric Dependence in Finance |
| Подзаголовок основной публикации | Diversification, Correlation and Portfolio Management in Market Downturns |
| Издатель | Wiley-Blackwell |
| Страницы | 169-195 |
| Число страниц | 27 |
| ISBN (электронное издание) | 9781119288992 |
| ISBN (печатное издание) | 9781119289012 |
| DOI | |
| Состояние | Опубликовано - 27 мар 2017 |
ID: 36345712