Kolmogorov complexity and algorithmic probability are compared in the context of the universal algorithmic intelligence. Accuracy of time series prediction based on single best model and on averaging over multiple models is estimated. Connection between inductive behavior and multi-model prediction is established. Uncertainty as a heuristic for reducing the number of used models without losses of universality is discussed. The conclusion is made that plurality of models is the essential feature of artificial general intelligence, and this feature should not be removed without necessity.
Язык оригиналаанглийский
Название основной публикацииproceedings of AGI 2012, Lecture Notes in Artificial Intelligence
ИздательSpringer Nature
Страницы252-261
СостояниеОпубликовано - 2012
Опубликовано для внешнего пользованияДа

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