Результаты исследований: Научные публикации в периодических изданиях › статья › Рецензирование
Coupled chemistry climate model simulations of stratospheric temperatures and their trends for the recent past. / Austin, J.; Wilson, R. J.; Akiyoshi, H.; Bekki, S.; Butchart, N.; Claud, C.; Fomichev, V. I.; Forster, P.; Garcia, R. R.; Gillett, N. P.; Keckhut, P.; Langematz, U.; Manzini, E.; Nagashima, T.; Randel, W. J.; Rozanov, E.; Shibata, K.; Shine, K. P.; Struthers, H.; Thompson, D. W. J.; Wu, F.; Yoden, S.
в: Geophysical Research Letters, Том 36, 13809, 14.07.2009.Результаты исследований: Научные публикации в периодических изданиях › статья › Рецензирование
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TY - JOUR
T1 - Coupled chemistry climate model simulations of stratospheric temperatures and their trends for the recent past
AU - Austin, J.
AU - Wilson, R. J.
AU - Akiyoshi, H.
AU - Bekki, S.
AU - Butchart, N.
AU - Claud, C.
AU - Fomichev, V. I.
AU - Forster, P.
AU - Garcia, R. R.
AU - Gillett, N. P.
AU - Keckhut, P.
AU - Langematz, U.
AU - Manzini, E.
AU - Nagashima, T.
AU - Randel, W. J.
AU - Rozanov, E.
AU - Shibata, K.
AU - Shine, K. P.
AU - Struthers, H.
AU - Thompson, D. W. J.
AU - Wu, F.
AU - Yoden, S.
PY - 2009/7/14
Y1 - 2009/7/14
N2 - Temperature results from multi-decadal simulations of coupled chemistry climate models for the recent past are analyzed using multi-linear regression including a trend, solar cycle, lower stratospheric tropical wind, and volcanic aerosol terms. The climatology of the models for recent years is in good agreement with observations for the troposphere but the model results diverge from each other and from observations in the stratosphere. Overall, the models agree better with observations than in previous assessments, primarily because of corrections in the observed temperatures. The annually averaged global and polar temperature trends simulated by the models are generally in agreement with revised satellite observations and radiosonde data over much of their altitude range. In the global average, the model trends underpredict the radiosonde data slightly at the top of the observed range. Over the Antarctic some models underpredict the temperature trend in the lower stratosphere, while others overpredict the trends. Citation: Austin, J., et al. (2009), Coupled chemistry climate model simulations of stratospheric temperatures and their trends for the recent past, Geophys. Res. Lett., 36, L13809, doi: 10.1029/2009GL038462.
AB - Temperature results from multi-decadal simulations of coupled chemistry climate models for the recent past are analyzed using multi-linear regression including a trend, solar cycle, lower stratospheric tropical wind, and volcanic aerosol terms. The climatology of the models for recent years is in good agreement with observations for the troposphere but the model results diverge from each other and from observations in the stratosphere. Overall, the models agree better with observations than in previous assessments, primarily because of corrections in the observed temperatures. The annually averaged global and polar temperature trends simulated by the models are generally in agreement with revised satellite observations and radiosonde data over much of their altitude range. In the global average, the model trends underpredict the radiosonde data slightly at the top of the observed range. Over the Antarctic some models underpredict the temperature trend in the lower stratosphere, while others overpredict the trends. Citation: Austin, J., et al. (2009), Coupled chemistry climate model simulations of stratospheric temperatures and their trends for the recent past, Geophys. Res. Lett., 36, L13809, doi: 10.1029/2009GL038462.
KW - INTERACTIVE CHEMISTRY
KW - OZONE
KW - VARIABILITY
KW - VALIDATION
KW - AEROSOL
U2 - 10.1029/2009GL038462
DO - 10.1029/2009GL038462
M3 - статья
VL - 36
JO - Geophysical Research Letters
JF - Geophysical Research Letters
SN - 0094-8276
M1 - 13809
ER -
ID: 121288178