TY - GEN

T1 - Analysis of the Approximation of Time Series Trend and Forecasting Based on It

AU - Ivanov, Nikita

AU - Prasolov, Alexander

PY - 2015

Y1 - 2015

N2 - The empirical analysis of building the time series model as a combination of a linear function of time, the partial sum of the Fourier series and specific procedures of the Fourier coefficients has been considered in the report. The experiments have been conducted with real data of different nature. It is noted that the consistent series expansion into the Fourier sine and cosine transformations and further optimization of the coefficients give a better result than without optimization. On the basis of this expansion a number of experiments to estimate the forecast horizon have been carried out.

AB - The empirical analysis of building the time series model as a combination of a linear function of time, the partial sum of the Fourier series and specific procedures of the Fourier coefficients has been considered in the report. The experiments have been conducted with real data of different nature. It is noted that the consistent series expansion into the Fourier sine and cosine transformations and further optimization of the coefficients give a better result than without optimization. On the basis of this expansion a number of experiments to estimate the forecast horizon have been carried out.

U2 - 10.1109/SCP.2015.7342189

DO - 10.1109/SCP.2015.7342189

M3 - статья в сборнике материалов конференции

SN - 9781467376983

SP - 460

EP - 462

BT - 2015 INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE "STABILITY AND CONTROL PROCESSES" IN MEMORY OF V.I. ZUBOV (SCP)

A2 - Petrosyan, LA

A2 - Zhabko, AP

PB - IEEE Canada

Y2 - 5 October 2015 through 9 October 2015

ER -