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We consider a stochastic model of changes of prices in real estate markets. We suppose that in a book of prices the changes happen in points of jumps of a Poisson process with a random intensity, i.e. moments of changes sequently follow to a random process of the Cox process type. We calculate cumulative mathematical expectations and variances for the random intensity of this point process. In the case that the process of random intensity is a martingale the cumulative variance has a linear grows. We statistically process a number of observations of real estate prices and accept hypotheses of a linear grows for estimations as well for cumulative average, as for cumulative variance both for input and output prises that are writing in the book of prises.
Язык оригинала | английский |
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Название основной публикации | Applied Mathematics and Computer Science |
Подзаголовок основной публикации | Proceedings of the 1st International Conference on Applied Mathematics and Computer Science |
Издатель | American Institute of Physics |
Том | 1836 |
ISBN (электронное издание) | 9780735415065 |
DOI | |
Состояние | Опубликовано - 5 июн 2017 |
Событие | 1st International Conference on Applied Mathematics and Computer Science - Rome, Италия Продолжительность: 26 янв 2017 → 28 янв 2017 |
конференция | 1st International Conference on Applied Mathematics and Computer Science |
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Сокращенное название | ICAMCS 2017 |
Страна/Tерритория | Италия |
Город | Rome |
Период | 26/01/17 → 28/01/17 |
ID: 15543563