TY - JOUR

T1 - Лидерство в БРИКС

T2 - прогнозы и реалии

AU - Лексютина, Я.В.

PY - 2017

Y1 - 2017

N2 - In 2015, for the first time since the creation of the BRIC acronym in 2001, China demonstrated GDP growth rates lower than the other BRIC/BRICS country. The fact that India overtook China in terms of GDP growth made headlines around the globe and initiated a discussion in the expert and academic communities over the possibility of India becoming a new economic leader in the BRICS. By examining BRICS countries' current and expected macroeconomic performance and by specifying roles they play in the international monetary and financial system this article aims to identify actual leading economic force in the BRICS. The focus of the research is put on the question whether India has capacity and strong prospects to replace China as a driver of the BRICS grouping in light of India's recently improved economic performance. After comparing major macroeconomic indicators of the BRICS countries and revealing challenges that China and India face in the process of economic development and measures both governments undertake to tackle them, it further proceeds with an analysis of roles China and other BRICS countries play in the international monetary and financial system. A cross country comparison for the BRICS countries' macroeconomic indicators and complex indexes reveals that China continues to be the leading force in this grouping in the economic realm. In terms of global economy agenda setting capacity and decision-making capacity, China is also far ahead of other BRICS countries. The article concludes that India's recent successful economic development doesn't provide enough grounds to claim its leadership role in the grouping; it is China that is set to remain the economic leader of the BRICS in the foreseen future.

AB - In 2015, for the first time since the creation of the BRIC acronym in 2001, China demonstrated GDP growth rates lower than the other BRIC/BRICS country. The fact that India overtook China in terms of GDP growth made headlines around the globe and initiated a discussion in the expert and academic communities over the possibility of India becoming a new economic leader in the BRICS. By examining BRICS countries' current and expected macroeconomic performance and by specifying roles they play in the international monetary and financial system this article aims to identify actual leading economic force in the BRICS. The focus of the research is put on the question whether India has capacity and strong prospects to replace China as a driver of the BRICS grouping in light of India's recently improved economic performance. After comparing major macroeconomic indicators of the BRICS countries and revealing challenges that China and India face in the process of economic development and measures both governments undertake to tackle them, it further proceeds with an analysis of roles China and other BRICS countries play in the international monetary and financial system. A cross country comparison for the BRICS countries' macroeconomic indicators and complex indexes reveals that China continues to be the leading force in this grouping in the economic realm. In terms of global economy agenda setting capacity and decision-making capacity, China is also far ahead of other BRICS countries. The article concludes that India's recent successful economic development doesn't provide enough grounds to claim its leadership role in the grouping; it is China that is set to remain the economic leader of the BRICS in the foreseen future.

KW - BRICS

KW - China

KW - India

KW - economic development

KW - macroeconomic performance

KW - economic reforms

KW - GDP

KW - development banks

KW - yuan internationalization

U2 - 10.20542/0131-2227-2017-61-5-25-33

DO - 10.20542/0131-2227-2017-61-5-25-33

M3 - статья

VL - 61

SP - 25

EP - 33

JO - МИРОВАЯ ЭКОНОМИКА И МЕЖДУНАРОДНЫЕ ОТНОШЕНИЯ

JF - МИРОВАЯ ЭКОНОМИКА И МЕЖДУНАРОДНЫЕ ОТНОШЕНИЯ

SN - 0131-2227

IS - 5

ER -