In this paper, we propose a likelihood ratio test for a change in persistence of a time series. We consider the null hypothesis of a constant persistence I(1) and an alternative in which the series changes from a stationary regime to a unit root regime or vice versa. Both known and unknown break dates are analyzed. Moreover, we consider a modification of a lag length selection procedure which provides better size control over various data generation processes. The bootstrap with recoloring also improves size. In general, our likelihood ratio-based tests show the best finite sample properties from all persistence change tests that use the null hypothesis of a unit root throughout.

Original languageEnglish
JournalCommunications in Statistics - Theory and Methods
DOIs
StateE-pub ahead of print - 18 May 2022

    Research areas

  • bootstrap, C12, C22, change in persistence, lag length selection, likelihood ratio test, recoloring, unit root test

    Scopus subject areas

  • Statistics and Probability

ID: 98736409