TY - JOUR

T1 - Information and Communication Technologies in Political Crisis Management: Resilience, Forecasting, and Response

AU - Пашенцев, Евгений Николаевич

AU - Колотаев, Юрий Юрьевич

PY - 2025/8/9

Y1 - 2025/8/9

N2 - This article explores the integration of information and communication technologies (ICT) in social and political crisis management, focusing on their role in forecasting and response. ICT applications, including predictive analytics, artificial intelligence, and blockchain, enhance situational awareness, decision-making, and systemic adaptability, offering new tools to address crises ranging from natural disasters to political unrest. Using resilience theory as a framework, the study examines how ICT fosters adaptive governance by enabling systems to anticipate, absorb, and recover from disruptions. The analysis distinguishes between resilience approaches—maintenance, marginality, and renewal—highlighting how ICT facilitates both incremental improvements and transformative changes in crisis management practices. Despite their transformative potential, ICT applications face challenges, including technical disparities, ethical concerns, and political influences that can distort their outcomes. Uneven access to technologies exacerbates global inequalities, while the deepening human-machine interaction raises questions about trust and autonomy in decision-making. The article recommends creating a global repository of ICT best practices, fostering international collaboration in crisis management within inclusive alliances, and advancing interdisciplinary research on the risks and opportunities of ICT integration. By aligning ICT development with resilience-oriented principles, this study underscores the need for adaptive, equitable, and effective crisis management strategies in an increasingly interconnected world.

AB - This article explores the integration of information and communication technologies (ICT) in social and political crisis management, focusing on their role in forecasting and response. ICT applications, including predictive analytics, artificial intelligence, and blockchain, enhance situational awareness, decision-making, and systemic adaptability, offering new tools to address crises ranging from natural disasters to political unrest. Using resilience theory as a framework, the study examines how ICT fosters adaptive governance by enabling systems to anticipate, absorb, and recover from disruptions. The analysis distinguishes between resilience approaches—maintenance, marginality, and renewal—highlighting how ICT facilitates both incremental improvements and transformative changes in crisis management practices. Despite their transformative potential, ICT applications face challenges, including technical disparities, ethical concerns, and political influences that can distort their outcomes. Uneven access to technologies exacerbates global inequalities, while the deepening human-machine interaction raises questions about trust and autonomy in decision-making. The article recommends creating a global repository of ICT best practices, fostering international collaboration in crisis management within inclusive alliances, and advancing interdisciplinary research on the risks and opportunities of ICT integration. By aligning ICT development with resilience-oriented principles, this study underscores the need for adaptive, equitable, and effective crisis management strategies in an increasingly interconnected world.

KW - Crisis management

KW - Forecasting

KW - Governance

KW - Information and communication technologies (ICT)

KW - Resilience

KW - Response

UR - https://www.mendeley.com/catalogue/fff187b6-6ae3-3ef4-8330-a8594f85e937/

U2 - 10.1007/s44282-025-00216-2

DO - 10.1007/s44282-025-00216-2

M3 - Article

VL - 3

JO - Discover Global Society

JF - Discover Global Society

SN - 2731-9687

IS - 1

M1 - 84

ER -