Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review
Hierarchical Epidemic Model on Structured Population : Diffusion Patterns and Control Policies. / Gubar, Elena; Taynitskiy, Vladislav; Fedyanin, Denis; Petrov, Ilya.
In: Computation, Vol. 10, No. 2, 31, 02.2022.Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review
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TY - JOUR
T1 - Hierarchical Epidemic Model on Structured Population
T2 - Diffusion Patterns and Control Policies
AU - Gubar, Elena
AU - Taynitskiy, Vladislav
AU - Fedyanin, Denis
AU - Petrov, Ilya
N1 - Gubar, E.; Taynitskiy, V.; Fedyanin, D.; Petrov, I. Hierarchical Epidemic Model on Structured Population: Diffusion Patterns and Control Policies. Computation 2022, 10, 31. https://doi.org/10.3390/computation10020031
PY - 2022/2
Y1 - 2022/2
N2 - In the current study, we define a hierarchical epidemic model that helps to describe the propagation of a pathogen in a clustered human population. The estimation of a novel coronavirus spreading worldwide leads to the idea of the hierarchical structure of the epidemic process. Thus, the propagation process is divided into three possible levels: a city, a country, and a worldwide. On each level, the pathogen propagation process is based on the susceptible-exposed-infected-recovered (SEIR) model. We thus formulate a modified transmission model of infected individuals between levels. The control of the pathogen’s spread can be seen as an optimal control problem. A trade-off exists between the cost of active virus propagation and the design of appropriate quarantine measures. Each level of the hierarchy is defined by its network. A series of numerical experiments was conducted to corroborate the obtained results.
AB - In the current study, we define a hierarchical epidemic model that helps to describe the propagation of a pathogen in a clustered human population. The estimation of a novel coronavirus spreading worldwide leads to the idea of the hierarchical structure of the epidemic process. Thus, the propagation process is divided into three possible levels: a city, a country, and a worldwide. On each level, the pathogen propagation process is based on the susceptible-exposed-infected-recovered (SEIR) model. We thus formulate a modified transmission model of infected individuals between levels. The control of the pathogen’s spread can be seen as an optimal control problem. A trade-off exists between the cost of active virus propagation and the design of appropriate quarantine measures. Each level of the hierarchy is defined by its network. A series of numerical experiments was conducted to corroborate the obtained results.
KW - Compartment epidemic models
KW - Epidemic process
KW - Optimal control
KW - SIR model
KW - SPREADING PROCESSES
KW - VIRUS
KW - epidemic process
KW - compartment epidemic models
KW - INFLUENZA
KW - DYNAMICS
KW - optimal control
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=85125144812&partnerID=8YFLogxK
UR - https://www.mendeley.com/catalogue/68a0867f-ea1a-32c6-b908-9183e9ab0b34/
U2 - 10.3390/computation10020031
DO - 10.3390/computation10020031
M3 - Article
AN - SCOPUS:85125144812
VL - 10
JO - Computation
JF - Computation
SN - 2079-3197
IS - 2
M1 - 31
ER -
ID: 93923679