The forecasting of a signal that locally satisfies linear recurrence relations (LRRs) with slowly changing coefficients is considered. A method that estimates the local LRRs using the subspace-based method, predicts their coefficients and constructs a forecast using the LRR with the predicted coefficients is proposed. This method is implemented for time series that have the form of a noisy sum of sine waves with modulated frequencies. Linear and sinusoidal frequency modulations are considered. The application of the algorithm is demonstrated with numerical examples.
Original languageEnglish
Number of pages12
JournalEngineering Proceedings
Volume39
Issue number1
DOIs
StatePublished - 28 Jun 2023
Event9th International conference on Time Series and Forecasting - Gran Canaria, Spain
Duration: 12 Jul 202314 Jul 2023
Conference number: 9
https://itise.ugr.es/

    Research areas

  • time series, SIGNAL, forecasting, singular spectrum analysis, linear recurrence relation

ID: 107406906