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Forecast with the use of statistical and expert methods. / Prasolov, A. V.; Khovanov, N. V.

In: Automation and Remote Control, Vol. 69, No. 6, 01.01.2008, p. 1023-1034.

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

Harvard

Prasolov, AV & Khovanov, NV 2008, 'Forecast with the use of statistical and expert methods', Automation and Remote Control, vol. 69, no. 6, pp. 1023-1034. https://doi.org/10.1134/S000511790806012X

APA

Prasolov, A. V., & Khovanov, N. V. (2008). Forecast with the use of statistical and expert methods. Automation and Remote Control, 69(6), 1023-1034. https://doi.org/10.1134/S000511790806012X

Vancouver

Prasolov AV, Khovanov NV. Forecast with the use of statistical and expert methods. Automation and Remote Control. 2008 Jan 1;69(6):1023-1034. https://doi.org/10.1134/S000511790806012X

Author

Prasolov, A. V. ; Khovanov, N. V. / Forecast with the use of statistical and expert methods. In: Automation and Remote Control. 2008 ; Vol. 69, No. 6. pp. 1023-1034.

BibTeX

@article{fdeb153aae974a5db6c65f0ed2d94d28,
title = "Forecast with the use of statistical and expert methods",
abstract = "Consideration is given to a combination of different methods for the forecast of values of the social-economic index. One group of methods estimate the value of the index in the future by econometric analysis basing on its dynamics in the past. A new notion of optimal initial vector of forecast is introduced. Other methods are based on experts' forecast whose conclusions accumulate nonnumerical, incomplete, and inexact information. The final estimate is delivered by a combination of econometric and expert forecasts with weighting coefficients; they are chosen by a researcher taking the volume and quality of the used expert and statistical information into account.",
author = "Prasolov, {A. V.} and Khovanov, {N. V.}",
year = "2008",
month = jan,
day = "1",
doi = "10.1134/S000511790806012X",
language = "English",
volume = "69",
pages = "1023--1034",
journal = "Automation and Remote Control",
issn = "0005-1179",
publisher = "МАИК {"}Наука/Интерпериодика{"}",
number = "6",

}

RIS

TY - JOUR

T1 - Forecast with the use of statistical and expert methods

AU - Prasolov, A. V.

AU - Khovanov, N. V.

PY - 2008/1/1

Y1 - 2008/1/1

N2 - Consideration is given to a combination of different methods for the forecast of values of the social-economic index. One group of methods estimate the value of the index in the future by econometric analysis basing on its dynamics in the past. A new notion of optimal initial vector of forecast is introduced. Other methods are based on experts' forecast whose conclusions accumulate nonnumerical, incomplete, and inexact information. The final estimate is delivered by a combination of econometric and expert forecasts with weighting coefficients; they are chosen by a researcher taking the volume and quality of the used expert and statistical information into account.

AB - Consideration is given to a combination of different methods for the forecast of values of the social-economic index. One group of methods estimate the value of the index in the future by econometric analysis basing on its dynamics in the past. A new notion of optimal initial vector of forecast is introduced. Other methods are based on experts' forecast whose conclusions accumulate nonnumerical, incomplete, and inexact information. The final estimate is delivered by a combination of econometric and expert forecasts with weighting coefficients; they are chosen by a researcher taking the volume and quality of the used expert and statistical information into account.

UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=48449095477&partnerID=8YFLogxK

U2 - 10.1134/S000511790806012X

DO - 10.1134/S000511790806012X

M3 - Article

AN - SCOPUS:48449095477

VL - 69

SP - 1023

EP - 1034

JO - Automation and Remote Control

JF - Automation and Remote Control

SN - 0005-1179

IS - 6

ER -

ID: 36114572