Boosting Algorithm (BA) is state-of-the-art in major competitions, especially in the M4 and M5 time series forecasting competitions. However, the use of BA requires tedious feature engineering work with blindness and randomness, which results in a serious waste of time. In this work, we try to guide the initial feature engineering operations in virtue of the explanation results of the SHAP technique, and meanwhile, the traditional Feature Importance (FI) method is also taken into account. Previous BA explanation works have rarely focused on forecasting, so the contribution of this work is (1) to develop a BA explanation framework-“FI-SHAP”, which focuses on time series forecasting, (2) to improve the efficiency of feature engineering. At the same time, to measure explainability performance, (3) we also establish a new practical evaluation framework that attempts to remove development barriers in the field of explainable AI.
Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationIntelligent Systems and Applications
Subtitle of host publicationProceedings of the 2022 Intelligent Systems Conference (IntelliSys)
PublisherSpringer Nature
Pages745–758
Volume3
ISBN (Electronic)978-3-031-16075-2
ISBN (Print)978-3-031-16074-5
DOIs
StatePublished - 2022

Publication series

NameLecture Notes in Networks and Systems
PublisherSpringer, Cham
Number544
ISSN (Print)2367-3370
ISSN (Electronic)2367-3389

ID: 104166143