Since the inception of asset pricing models, starting as far back as beginning of XX century, and moreover after the fundamental work of Black and Scholes (1973), there has been considerable interest in analytical research of stock exchange equities behavior. Still up to nowadays it remains a critical task for participants engaged in the field of “financial mathematics”. The reason of such an undying interest is that to adequately assess investments risks the stock exchange actors (brokers, investors, traders, et. al) need still more and more accurate prediction results obtained as fast as possible. It is a matter of fact proven by numerous researchers that assets derivatives behave differently being observed in small, medium, and long-term frames. Algorithms for predicting the dynamics of stock options and other assets derivatives for both small times (where one plays on market fluctuations), and medium ones (where trade is stressed at the beginning and closing moments) are well developed, and trading robots are actively used for these purposes. Analysis of the dynamics of assets for very long time-frames (of order of several months and years) is still beyond the scope of analysts as it is expensively prohibited, although this issue is extremely important for hedging the investments portfolios. The present paper focuses on construction of an effective and resource-intensive model for predicting the behavior of financial instruments, trends and price movements based upon the principles of deep learning. The forecasts obtained by the model showed an almost acceptable compliance with the true prices of the S&P500.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationComputational Science and Its Applications – ICCSA 2019 - 19th International Conference, 2019, Proceedings
EditorsSanjay Misra, Osvaldo Gervasi, Beniamino Murgante, Elena Stankova, Vladimir Korkhov, Carmelo Torre, Eufemia Tarantino, Ana Maria A.C. Rocha, David Taniar, Bernady O. Apduhan
PublisherSpringer Nature
Pages631-640
Number of pages10
ISBN (Print)9783030242954
DOIs
StatePublished - 2019
Event19th International Conference on Computational Science and Its Applications, ICCSA 2019 - Saint Petersburg, Russian Federation
Duration: 1 Jul 20194 Jul 2019
Conference number: 19

Publication series

NameLecture Notes in Computer Science (including subseries Lecture Notes in Artificial Intelligence and Lecture Notes in Bioinformatics)
Volume11620 LNCS
ISSN (Print)0302-9743
ISSN (Electronic)1611-3349

Conference

Conference19th International Conference on Computational Science and Its Applications, ICCSA 2019
Abbreviated titleICCSA 2019
Country/TerritoryRussian Federation
CitySaint Petersburg
Period1/07/194/07/19

    Research areas

  • Deep learning, LSTM, Recurrent neural networks, S&P500, TensorFlow

    Scopus subject areas

  • Theoretical Computer Science
  • Computer Science(all)

ID: 77308910