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Climate Warming as a Possible Trigger of Keystone Mussel Population Decline in Oligotrophic Rivers at the Continental Scale. / Bolotov, Ivan N.; Makhrov, Alexander A.; Gofarov, Mikhail Yu; Aksenova, Olga V.; Aspholm, Paul E.; Bespalaya, Yulia V.; Kabakov, Mikhail B.; Kolosova, Yulia S.; Kondakov, Alexander V.; Ofenböck, Thomas; Ostrovsky, Andrew N.; Popov, Igor Yu; Von Proschwitz, Ted; Rudzite, Mudite; Rudzitis, Maris; Sokolova, Svetlana E.; Valovirta, Ilmari; Vikhrev, Ilya V.; Vinarski, Maxim V.; Zotin, Alexey A.

In: Scientific Reports, Vol. 8, No. 1, 35, 01.12.2018.

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

Harvard

Bolotov, IN, Makhrov, AA, Gofarov, MY, Aksenova, OV, Aspholm, PE, Bespalaya, YV, Kabakov, MB, Kolosova, YS, Kondakov, AV, Ofenböck, T, Ostrovsky, AN, Popov, IY, Von Proschwitz, T, Rudzite, M, Rudzitis, M, Sokolova, SE, Valovirta, I, Vikhrev, IV, Vinarski, MV & Zotin, AA 2018, 'Climate Warming as a Possible Trigger of Keystone Mussel Population Decline in Oligotrophic Rivers at the Continental Scale', Scientific Reports, vol. 8, no. 1, 35. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-017-18873-y

APA

Bolotov, I. N., Makhrov, A. A., Gofarov, M. Y., Aksenova, O. V., Aspholm, P. E., Bespalaya, Y. V., Kabakov, M. B., Kolosova, Y. S., Kondakov, A. V., Ofenböck, T., Ostrovsky, A. N., Popov, I. Y., Von Proschwitz, T., Rudzite, M., Rudzitis, M., Sokolova, S. E., Valovirta, I., Vikhrev, I. V., Vinarski, M. V., & Zotin, A. A. (2018). Climate Warming as a Possible Trigger of Keystone Mussel Population Decline in Oligotrophic Rivers at the Continental Scale. Scientific Reports, 8(1), [35]. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-017-18873-y

Vancouver

Bolotov IN, Makhrov AA, Gofarov MY, Aksenova OV, Aspholm PE, Bespalaya YV et al. Climate Warming as a Possible Trigger of Keystone Mussel Population Decline in Oligotrophic Rivers at the Continental Scale. Scientific Reports. 2018 Dec 1;8(1). 35. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-017-18873-y

Author

Bolotov, Ivan N. ; Makhrov, Alexander A. ; Gofarov, Mikhail Yu ; Aksenova, Olga V. ; Aspholm, Paul E. ; Bespalaya, Yulia V. ; Kabakov, Mikhail B. ; Kolosova, Yulia S. ; Kondakov, Alexander V. ; Ofenböck, Thomas ; Ostrovsky, Andrew N. ; Popov, Igor Yu ; Von Proschwitz, Ted ; Rudzite, Mudite ; Rudzitis, Maris ; Sokolova, Svetlana E. ; Valovirta, Ilmari ; Vikhrev, Ilya V. ; Vinarski, Maxim V. ; Zotin, Alexey A. / Climate Warming as a Possible Trigger of Keystone Mussel Population Decline in Oligotrophic Rivers at the Continental Scale. In: Scientific Reports. 2018 ; Vol. 8, No. 1.

BibTeX

@article{963309438a8a47faa15c2c345923a968,
title = "Climate Warming as a Possible Trigger of Keystone Mussel Population Decline in Oligotrophic Rivers at the Continental Scale",
abstract = "The effects of climate change on oligotrophic rivers and their communities are almost unknown, albeit these ecosystems are the primary habitat of the critically endangered freshwater pearl mussel and its host fishes, salmonids. The distribution and abundance of pearl mussels have drastically decreased throughout Europe over the last century, particularly within the southern part of the range, but causes of this wide-scale extinction process are unclear. Here we estimate the effects of climate change on pearl mussels based on historical and recent samples from 50 rivers and 6 countries across Europe. We found that the shell convexity may be considered an indicator of the thermal effects on pearl mussel populations under warming climate because it reflects shifts in summer temperatures and is significantly different in viable and declining populations. Spatial and temporal modeling of the relationship between shell convexity and population status show that global climate change could have accelerated the population decline of pearl mussels over the last 100 years through rapidly decreasing suitable distribution areas. Simulation predicts future warming-induced range reduction, particularly in southern regions. These results highlight the importance of large-scale studies of keystone species, which can underscore the hidden effects of climate warming on freshwater ecosystems.",
keywords = "Algorithms, Animals, Bivalvia, Climate Change, Ecosystem, Fresh Water, Geography, Models, Theoretical, Population Density, Rivers",
author = "Bolotov, {Ivan N.} and Makhrov, {Alexander A.} and Gofarov, {Mikhail Yu} and Aksenova, {Olga V.} and Aspholm, {Paul E.} and Bespalaya, {Yulia V.} and Kabakov, {Mikhail B.} and Kolosova, {Yulia S.} and Kondakov, {Alexander V.} and Thomas Ofenb{\"o}ck and Ostrovsky, {Andrew N.} and Popov, {Igor Yu} and {Von Proschwitz}, Ted and Mudite Rudzite and Maris Rudzitis and Sokolova, {Svetlana E.} and Ilmari Valovirta and Vikhrev, {Ilya V.} and Vinarski, {Maxim V.} and Zotin, {Alexey A.}",
note = "Publisher Copyright: {\textcopyright} 2017 The Author(s).",
year = "2018",
month = dec,
day = "1",
doi = "10.1038/s41598-017-18873-y",
language = "English",
volume = "8",
journal = "Scientific Reports",
issn = "2045-2322",
publisher = "Nature Publishing Group",
number = "1",

}

RIS

TY - JOUR

T1 - Climate Warming as a Possible Trigger of Keystone Mussel Population Decline in Oligotrophic Rivers at the Continental Scale

AU - Bolotov, Ivan N.

AU - Makhrov, Alexander A.

AU - Gofarov, Mikhail Yu

AU - Aksenova, Olga V.

AU - Aspholm, Paul E.

AU - Bespalaya, Yulia V.

AU - Kabakov, Mikhail B.

AU - Kolosova, Yulia S.

AU - Kondakov, Alexander V.

AU - Ofenböck, Thomas

AU - Ostrovsky, Andrew N.

AU - Popov, Igor Yu

AU - Von Proschwitz, Ted

AU - Rudzite, Mudite

AU - Rudzitis, Maris

AU - Sokolova, Svetlana E.

AU - Valovirta, Ilmari

AU - Vikhrev, Ilya V.

AU - Vinarski, Maxim V.

AU - Zotin, Alexey A.

N1 - Publisher Copyright: © 2017 The Author(s).

PY - 2018/12/1

Y1 - 2018/12/1

N2 - The effects of climate change on oligotrophic rivers and their communities are almost unknown, albeit these ecosystems are the primary habitat of the critically endangered freshwater pearl mussel and its host fishes, salmonids. The distribution and abundance of pearl mussels have drastically decreased throughout Europe over the last century, particularly within the southern part of the range, but causes of this wide-scale extinction process are unclear. Here we estimate the effects of climate change on pearl mussels based on historical and recent samples from 50 rivers and 6 countries across Europe. We found that the shell convexity may be considered an indicator of the thermal effects on pearl mussel populations under warming climate because it reflects shifts in summer temperatures and is significantly different in viable and declining populations. Spatial and temporal modeling of the relationship between shell convexity and population status show that global climate change could have accelerated the population decline of pearl mussels over the last 100 years through rapidly decreasing suitable distribution areas. Simulation predicts future warming-induced range reduction, particularly in southern regions. These results highlight the importance of large-scale studies of keystone species, which can underscore the hidden effects of climate warming on freshwater ecosystems.

AB - The effects of climate change on oligotrophic rivers and their communities are almost unknown, albeit these ecosystems are the primary habitat of the critically endangered freshwater pearl mussel and its host fishes, salmonids. The distribution and abundance of pearl mussels have drastically decreased throughout Europe over the last century, particularly within the southern part of the range, but causes of this wide-scale extinction process are unclear. Here we estimate the effects of climate change on pearl mussels based on historical and recent samples from 50 rivers and 6 countries across Europe. We found that the shell convexity may be considered an indicator of the thermal effects on pearl mussel populations under warming climate because it reflects shifts in summer temperatures and is significantly different in viable and declining populations. Spatial and temporal modeling of the relationship between shell convexity and population status show that global climate change could have accelerated the population decline of pearl mussels over the last 100 years through rapidly decreasing suitable distribution areas. Simulation predicts future warming-induced range reduction, particularly in southern regions. These results highlight the importance of large-scale studies of keystone species, which can underscore the hidden effects of climate warming on freshwater ecosystems.

KW - Algorithms

KW - Animals

KW - Bivalvia

KW - Climate Change

KW - Ecosystem

KW - Fresh Water

KW - Geography

KW - Models, Theoretical

KW - Population Density

KW - Rivers

UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=85040463706&partnerID=8YFLogxK

UR - http://www.mendeley.com/research/climate-warming-possible-trigger-keystone-mussel-population-decline-oligotrophic-rivers-continental

U2 - 10.1038/s41598-017-18873-y

DO - 10.1038/s41598-017-18873-y

M3 - Article

C2 - 29311629

AN - SCOPUS:85040463706

VL - 8

JO - Scientific Reports

JF - Scientific Reports

SN - 2045-2322

IS - 1

M1 - 35

ER -

ID: 11573896