An approach to the sensitivity analysis of local a posterior inference equations in algebraic Bayesian networks is proposed in the paper. Performed a sensitivity analysis of first a posterior inference task for stochastic and deterministic evidences propagated into the knowledge pattern with scalar estimates. For each of the considered cases the necessary metrics are chosen and transformations are carried out, that result into a linear programming problem. In addition, for each type of evidence theorems that postulate upper sensitivity estimates are formulated and proofs are provided. Theoretical results are implemented in CSharp using the module of probabilistic-logical inference software complex. A series of computational experiments is conducted. The results of experiments are visualized using tables and charts. The proposed visualization demonstrates the high sensitivity of the considered models, that confirms the correctness of their use.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationProceedings of the 2nd International Scientific Conference on Intelligent Information Technologies for Industry, IITI 2017
EditorsSergey Kovalev, Andrey Sukhanov, Margreta Vasileva, Valery Tarassov, Vaclav Snasel, Ajith Abraham
PublisherSpringer Nature
Pages34-42
Number of pages9
ISBN (Print)9783319683201
DOIs
StatePublished - 1 Jan 2018
Event2nd International Conference on Intelligent Information Technologies for Industry, IITI 2017 - Varna, Bulgaria
Duration: 14 Sep 201716 Sep 2017

Publication series

NameAdvances in Intelligent Systems and Computing
Volume679
ISSN (Print)2194-5357

Conference

Conference2nd International Conference on Intelligent Information Technologies for Industry, IITI 2017
Country/TerritoryBulgaria
CityVarna
Period14/09/1716/09/17

    Scopus subject areas

  • Control and Systems Engineering
  • Computer Science(all)

    Research areas

  • Algebraic bayesian network, Evidence propagation, Machine learning, Matrix-vector equations, Posterior inference, Probabilistic graphical model, Sensitivity statistical estimate

ID: 36984823