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The agriculture sector is increasingly challenged to maintain productivity and sustainability amidst environmental, marketplace, and geopolitical pressures. While precision agriculture enhances physical production, the financial resilience of agricultural firms has been understudied. In this study, machine learning (ML) methods, including logistic regression (LR), decision trees (DTs), and artificial neural networks (ANNs), are employed to predict the bankruptcy risk for Central and Eastern European (CEE) farming firms. All models consistently showed high performance, with AUC values exceeding 0.95. DTs had the highest overall accuracy (95.72%) and F1 score (0.9768), LR had the highest recall (0.9923), and ANNs had the highest discrimination power (AUC = 0.960). Visegrad, Balkan, Baltic, and Eastern Europe subregional models featured economic and structural heterogeneity, reflecting the need for local financial risk surveillance. The results support the development of AI-based early warning systems for agricultural finance, enabling smarter decision-making, regional adaptation, and enhanced sustainability in the sector.
Translated title of the contributionПрогнозирование банкротства сельскохозяйственных компаний в Центральной и Восточной Европе на основе ИИ
Original languageEnglish
Article number133
Number of pages35
JournalInternational Journal of Financial Studies
Volume13
Issue number3
Early online dateJul 2025
DOIs
StatePublished - Sep 2025

    Scopus subject areas

  • Business, Management and Accounting(all)
  • Agricultural and Biological Sciences(all)
  • Economics, Econometrics and Finance(all)

ID: 141984039