This article covers the conflict between the population of the Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region and the government of the People’s Republic of China. Both parties have their own visions of the conflict, interests and goals, which, as a whole, have been preventing them from resolving the matter in favor either for China, or for the XUAR. Because the parties have opposite positions on the conflict, they both are mentioned and analyzed in the article. Such full and diverse analysis is necessary for getting valid results. The conceptual model of the matter includes structural and dynamic indicators: object, topic, subjects, their interests, time line of the conflict. Coupled with the expert assessment, these are the source data for the analysis tools, which are based on Analytic Network Process (ANP) by Thomas L. Saaty with the Super Decisions software. Using of the network models is vital for the situation concerned because they tend to be the most suitable presentation of the real-life issues, especially in political, economic and social domains. Analyzed decision options in real life always have their benefits and drawbacks, that is why the hierarchies of Benefits, Opportunities, Costs and Risks with the same alternatives were built. The corresponding criteria were formulated on the basis of the current state of relations between China and the XUAR and their history. The final results showed that China and the XUAR have opposite positions. However, deep study into several structural elements affords ground for implementation of the compromise option in some circumstances.
Translated title of the contributionCONFLICTOLOGICAL ANALYSIS OF THE SITUATION AROUND THE XINJIANG UYGUR AUTONOMOUS REGION IN THE PEOPLE'S REPUBLIC OF CHINA BY THE ANALYTIC NETWORK PROCESS
Original languageRussian
Pages (from-to)9-27
JournalКОНФЛИКТОЛОГИЯ
Volume17
Issue number3
StatePublished - 2022

    Research areas

  • CONFLICT, XINJIANG, PEOPLE’S REPUBLIC OF CHINA, expert assessments, Analytic Network Process

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