НЕГАТИВНЫЕ ПОСЛЕДСТВИЯ ШТОРМОВЫХ НАГОНОВ И «ВЕКОВОГО» РОСТА УРОВНЯ В НЕВСКОЙ ГУБЕ

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НЕГАТИВНЫЕ ПОСЛЕДСТВИЯ ШТОРМОВЫХ НАГОНОВ И «ВЕКОВОГО» РОСТА УРОВНЯ В НЕВСКОЙ ГУБЕ. / Malinin, Valerij Nikolaevich; Gordeeva, Svetlana Mihajlovna; Mitina, Yuliya Valerievna; Pavlovsky, Artyom Aleksandrovich.

In: ВОДА И ЭКОЛОГИЯ: ПРОБЛЕМЫ И РЕШЕНИЯ, Vol. 2018, No. 1, 2018, p. 48-58.

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

Author

Malinin, Valerij Nikolaevich ; Gordeeva, Svetlana Mihajlovna ; Mitina, Yuliya Valerievna ; Pavlovsky, Artyom Aleksandrovich. / НЕГАТИВНЫЕ ПОСЛЕДСТВИЯ ШТОРМОВЫХ НАГОНОВ И «ВЕКОВОГО» РОСТА УРОВНЯ В НЕВСКОЙ ГУБЕ. In: ВОДА И ЭКОЛОГИЯ: ПРОБЛЕМЫ И РЕШЕНИЯ. 2018 ; Vol. 2018, No. 1. pp. 48-58.

BibTeX

@article{618ce4f0ea82450c8ec3abdab57dcb51,

title = "НЕГАТИВНЫЕ ПОСЛЕДСТВИЯ ШТОРМОВЫХ НАГОНОВ И «ВЕКОВОГО» РОСТА УРОВНЯ В НЕВСКОЙ ГУБЕ",

abstract = "Negative consequences of possible level variations in the Neva Bay by the end of the century due to the age-old level rise and extreme storm surges for St. Petersburg are discussed. These include flooding, submergence, erosion of shores and bogging of coastal areas. It is shown that the most realistic forecast of the level in Kronstadt by the end of the century is its rise up to 34–59 cm BS (the Baltic system of heights), and according to the “pessimistic” forecast there is a possibility of its rise to 80– 90 cm BS. In this case, significant areas of the Admiralteysky, Vasileostrovsky, Kirovsky and Petrogradsky city districts will be flooded. The results of assessing the flood zone boundaries of the city{\textquoteright}s territory for one-percent water levels are given. In case of extreme storm surges, the possible level rise north of Gorskaya may amount to 600 cm BS. Especially the effect of flooding caused by storm surges is pronounced near Sestro-retsk. At an altitude of the 4-m surge wave the total area of possible flooding of Kurortny district exceeds 1260 hectares, all the beaches being completely lost.",

keywords = "Forecast, Neva Bay, Sea level, Storm surges, Under-flooding and flooding of coasts",

author = "Malinin, {Valerij Nikolaevich} and Gordeeva, {Svetlana Mihajlovna} and Mitina, {Yuliya Valerievna} and Pavlovsky, {Artyom Aleksandrovich}",

year = "2018",

doi = "10.23968/2305-3488.2018.23.1.48-58",

language = "русский",

volume = "2018",

pages = "48--58",

journal = "Water and Ecology",

issn = "2305-3488",

publisher = "Vodoproekt -Giprokommunvodokana",

number = "1",

}

RIS

TY - JOUR

T1 - НЕГАТИВНЫЕ ПОСЛЕДСТВИЯ ШТОРМОВЫХ НАГОНОВ И «ВЕКОВОГО» РОСТА УРОВНЯ В НЕВСКОЙ ГУБЕ

AU - Malinin, Valerij Nikolaevich

AU - Gordeeva, Svetlana Mihajlovna

AU - Mitina, Yuliya Valerievna

AU - Pavlovsky, Artyom Aleksandrovich

PY - 2018

Y1 - 2018

N2 - Negative consequences of possible level variations in the Neva Bay by the end of the century due to the age-old level rise and extreme storm surges for St. Petersburg are discussed. These include flooding, submergence, erosion of shores and bogging of coastal areas. It is shown that the most realistic forecast of the level in Kronstadt by the end of the century is its rise up to 34–59 cm BS (the Baltic system of heights), and according to the “pessimistic” forecast there is a possibility of its rise to 80– 90 cm BS. In this case, significant areas of the Admiralteysky, Vasileostrovsky, Kirovsky and Petrogradsky city districts will be flooded. The results of assessing the flood zone boundaries of the city’s territory for one-percent water levels are given. In case of extreme storm surges, the possible level rise north of Gorskaya may amount to 600 cm BS. Especially the effect of flooding caused by storm surges is pronounced near Sestro-retsk. At an altitude of the 4-m surge wave the total area of possible flooding of Kurortny district exceeds 1260 hectares, all the beaches being completely lost.

AB - Negative consequences of possible level variations in the Neva Bay by the end of the century due to the age-old level rise and extreme storm surges for St. Petersburg are discussed. These include flooding, submergence, erosion of shores and bogging of coastal areas. It is shown that the most realistic forecast of the level in Kronstadt by the end of the century is its rise up to 34–59 cm BS (the Baltic system of heights), and according to the “pessimistic” forecast there is a possibility of its rise to 80– 90 cm BS. In this case, significant areas of the Admiralteysky, Vasileostrovsky, Kirovsky and Petrogradsky city districts will be flooded. The results of assessing the flood zone boundaries of the city’s territory for one-percent water levels are given. In case of extreme storm surges, the possible level rise north of Gorskaya may amount to 600 cm BS. Especially the effect of flooding caused by storm surges is pronounced near Sestro-retsk. At an altitude of the 4-m surge wave the total area of possible flooding of Kurortny district exceeds 1260 hectares, all the beaches being completely lost.

KW - Forecast

KW - Neva Bay

KW - Sea level

KW - Storm surges

KW - Under-flooding and flooding of coasts

UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=85052922057&partnerID=8YFLogxK

U2 - 10.23968/2305-3488.2018.23.1.48-58

DO - 10.23968/2305-3488.2018.23.1.48-58

M3 - статья

AN - SCOPUS:85052922057

VL - 2018

SP - 48

EP - 58

JO - Water and Ecology

JF - Water and Ecology

SN - 2305-3488

IS - 1

ER -

ID: 92642107