The assessment of the development of foreign trade relations of Russia based on the cointegration analysis

Natalia Anatolievna Navrotskaya, Natalya Yuryevna Sopilko, Rimma Shoidorzhievna Bolotova, Sergey Vladimirovich Shamsheev, Nataliya Vitalevna Bondarchuk, Elena Viktorovna Margolina

Результат исследований: Научные публикации в периодических изданияхстатьярецензирование

Аннотация

The methods of cointegration analysis and the Vector error correction model (VECM) were used in the study of the peculiarities of Russian foreign economic relations with the main partner countries in the sectoral context. As a result of the research, reliable models of cointegration interrelations were obtained, which allowed us to reveal certain patterns of trade development of the selected group of countries. The obtained cointegrating coefficients made it possible to estimate the speed of recovery of trade links that were disrupted due to external influences. This information about the resistance of international trade ties is important for economic analysis and forecasting.

Язык оригиналаанглийский
Страницы (с-по)1899-1911
Число страниц13
ЖурналInternational Journal of Civil Engineering and Technology (IJCIET)
Том10
Номер выпуска2
Ранняя дата в режиме онлайн2018
СостояниеОпубликовано - 1 фев 2019

Предметные области Scopus

  • Системотехника
  • Городское и структурное проектирование
  • Строительство
  • Компьютерные сети и коммуникации

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