МЕТОД РАНДОМИЗИРОВАННЫХ ТРАЕКТОРИЙ В ЗАДАЧАХ ПРОГНОЗИРОВАНИЯ ДИНАМИКИ ЭКОНОМИЧЕСКИХ ПОКАЗАТЕЛЕЙ Randomized Trajectories Method in the Problems of Forecasting Economic Parameters Dynamics

On the base of stochastic processes with equally probable realizations theory, the randomized trajectories method is developed, which being a tool for forecasting economic parameters values. The method allows to receive specified numerical estimations on the basis of non-numerical ordinal and other additional information on economic parameters. The potential of the method developed is demonstrated by the example of forecasting bond's price dynamics.