Hydrological regime of the Black and Azov Seas catchment under the global warming

V. P. Evstigneev, N. A. Lemeshko, L. P. Ostroumova

Research outputpeer-review

Abstract

Estimates of probable change in water balance parameters of the Black and Azov Seas drainage basin under the global warming by 1°C were obtained. A steady-state hydrological model has been developed for evaluation of river runoff and evaporation. The paleoclimatic reconstruction for global warming on 1°C has been used as empirical scenario. This scale of climate change corresponds to the warm epoch of the past, considered as an analogue of the future climate: the Holocene Thermal Maximum (7-6 ka BP). The estimates indicate possible increase in the total river inflow into the Black and Azov Seas by about 17 km3 per year and increase of the mean annual evaporation by 27 mm per year relative to the period of 1961-1990 years. Estimation was made notwithstanding water consumption.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationThe 5th International Conference on Ecosystem dynamics in the Holocene
EditorsE. Novenko, A. Olchev
PublisherIOP Publishing Ltd.
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 5 Feb 2020
Event5th International Conference on Ecosystem dynamics in the Holocene - Moscow
Duration: 11 Nov 201915 Nov 2019

Publication series

NameIOP Conference Series: Earth and Environmental Science
PublisherIOP Publishing Ltd.
Number1
Volume438
ISSN (Print)1755-1307

Conference

Conference5th International Conference on Ecosystem dynamics in the Holocene
CountryRussian Federation
CityMoscow
Period11/11/1915/11/19

Scopus subject areas

  • Environmental Science(all)
  • Earth and Planetary Sciences(all)

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