Forecast of Coronavirus Distribution in a Number of Countries of Europe and Asia: Dynamic and Stochastic Approach

Yu A. Pichugin, O. A. Malafeyev, I. V. Zaitseva, A. A. Shulga, D. N. Kolesov

Research output: Contribution to journalConference articlepeer-review

Abstract

The simplest example of a dynamic stochastic approach to the study of the distribution of the coronovirus is considered. The distribution of coronavirus outside of china is considered as a modeling object. The choice of the developed model is due to the fact that the volterra equations are used to describe the dynamics of quantities that do not go beyond the range of positive values. The investigated process and the model parameter in the work are scalar in nature. As a result of modeling, the authors predicted the spread of coronavirus in a number of countries in Europe and Asia

Original languageEnglish
Article number032021
JournalIOP Conference Series: Earth and Environmental Science
Volume666
Issue number3
DOIs
StatePublished - 9 Mar 2021
Event2020 International Science and Technology Conference on Earth Science, ISTCEarthScience 2020 - Vladivostok, Russian Federation
Duration: 6 Oct 20209 Oct 2020

Scopus subject areas

  • Environmental Science(all)
  • Earth and Planetary Sciences(all)

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